Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1259.167008 1423.406268 1603.466885 1815.928579 2060.285276 2333.122731 2661.669811
2025-12-21 967.772573 1179.120930 1430.959481 1754.821695 2162.629977 2662.201764 3325.265597
2025-12-28 855.296778 1096.210043 1400.033288 1814.714658 2371.195582 3099.516577 4137.021882
2026-01-04 764.343620 1020.046700 1357.546043 1841.009994 2524.612941 3469.895598 4899.180241
2026-01-11 691.241526 954.660367 1316.099972 1855.850236 2654.496995 3813.469856 5661.139115
2026-01-18 631.532592 898.874018 1278.475082 1866.726410 2773.346976 4147.793455 6447.802029
2026-01-25 591.778076 866.076151 1268.129639 1913.119488 2946.105515 4578.536954 7440.348135
2026-02-01 552.910650 829.786869 1247.468079 1939.021503 3086.354320 4970.572692 8420.602354
2026-02-08 516.128720 792.567976 1220.731575 1950.582844 3201.765466 5331.761130 9395.134580
2026-02-15 485.885964 762.414261 1201.508021 1970.970867 3331.987022 5730.517723 10491.979469
2026-02-22 462.553561 740.986147 1193.811248 2008.838951 3495.014407 6204.383079 11798.568474
2026-03-01 426.227159 694.864588 1140.724137 1961.731868 3498.430142 6383.058611 12546.326013
2026-03-08 391.548159 649.478127 1086.266597 1909.042028 3489.819219 6545.815915 13305.480027
2026-03-15 358.551731 604.485372 1028.913388 1845.740920 3454.510478 6653.249158 13968.403103
2026-03-22 348.129829 598.061803 1038.971095 1909.025918 3673.227748 7299.267518 15926.773703
2026-03-29 333.423241 582.659153 1031.216994 1936.857624 3823.007163 7820.432896 17689.554715
2026-04-05 318.327213 565.274277 1018.160197 1952.562532 3948.771944 8305.443124 19451.495311
2026-04-12 303.948287 548.059047 1003.871836 1964.073228 4066.375372 8787.071617 21292.157732
2026-04-19 295.135568 540.652932 1007.723888 2013.177731 4271.831313 9497.828319 23861.747167
2026-04-26 284.442131 528.768178 1001.707441 2040.597011 4431.312716 10121.517458 26319.874826
2026-05-03 272.881513 514.305976 989.309233 2052.836367 4556.817284 10679.363485 28705.350743
2026-05-10 263.068874 502.598065 981.540049 2074.421213 4706.889367 11320.024928 31464.404048
2026-05-17 255.647639 495.174980 982.004788 2114.516156 4906.742707 12118.664607 34873.792510